Hillary wins PA, still down 3 games to 1

By Brent

Hillary Clinton wins Pennsylvania by 10%. I am happy for the harpy, I mean woman.

UPDATE: Good 'Ol Hill won by 9%, not double digits like the pundits are ramming down our throats. So now how does Hillbot spin this? After all her campaign had said that a double digit win was necessary.

Let's use a hockey metaphor since the Stanley Cup playoffs are going on. She won Game 4 in the Stanley Cup finals. However, she is still down 3 games to 1 in a best of 7 series. The Final three games are on Obama's home ice and her starting goalie is out for the rest of the series. Any slip up in the next three games and Hillary loses the Democratic nomination. I predict that it won't take long for the series to be over.

The next game in this series is Indiana and North Carolina. In North Carolina, Obama is leading by double digits in all major polls. One has Obama up by 25%. So the 200,000 popular votes that Hillary won Pennsylvania by will be erased in this state as well as about the 15 more delegates that she won over Obama in PA.

In Indiana, the polls are split. 2 have Obama up by 5%. One has Hillary up by 3%. And the final one has Hillary up by 16%. This state does not matter if Hillary cannot pull ahead in North Carolina. A split in these two states dooms her candidacy. She needs delegate gains in every state just to pull close in the actual delegate race.

If the improbable does happen and she continues a credible candidacy after May 6th, then the next game is the rest of the states in the Democratic Primary race. That is Kentucky, Guam, West Virginia, South Dakota, Montana, Oregon, and Puerto Rico. Hillary will win Kentucky, West Virginia, Guam, and Puerto Rico. Oregon, South Dakota, and Montana look like they are favoring Obama in early polling. She has to pull rabbits out of her hat in those states and she might be able to withstand a loss in one of these states. However, if she loses all three states, the dream is over for Senator Clinton.

Finally, the Game 7 scenario is the Super-delegates. She has to convince about 70% of the undecided super delegates that she is the correct choice for the Democratic Party for the presidential nomination. She will argue that she won the popular vote by including the vote from Florida and the 300,000 vote margin that she enjoyed in the state that she said did not count. And also, she will have to try and repair the division of the Democratic Party she will have caused. That is because over half of the Democratic voters in the contested primaries and caucuses in America will have voted for her opponent rather than her.

The funny thing about a Hillary victory in the Democratic nomination race is that we will have two George W. Bush lites running for President. We Democrats say that we almost hate Bush, but then we will run Hillary who looked a lot like George W. Bush's shadow by her votes and actions until the race for the White House started. John McCain will win the Presidency if Hillary is the nominee because of her unlikable nature. I'm sorry, but when over 55% of the American public says that you are untrustworthy and unlikable, winning the Presidency is near damn impossible. Pair that with the likability of John McNasty from the press and the American public buying the BS that he is a maverick of the Republican Party and you have McCain reaching 270 electoral votes rather easily. Then we will Have a clone of Bush Jr. in the White House and more of our government not being accountable to the American people and more of our best and brightest dying in wars around the globe because of Al-Qaeda elements. According to John McCain, it doesn't matter if Al-Qaeda is mortally wounded in Iraq like our military says. If there is one member of that organization there, then we must stay there.

That is the choice that the Democratic Party must decide on. Whether or not they want the Democratic nominee for president to win or not. I can see a victory for one of the candidates in November and another loss for the Democrats if we choose the other person. Hillary cannot win this fight in the general election. The deck is stacked against her. Obama might not have experience setting up tea times in the White House, but he has a chance to win in November. Now, it is up to the voters to close out this game and let's set our sights on getting Senator McNasty's flaws out into the open so the American public can see who exactly he is.